Cash-flow forecastForecastLive

A profitable month and
a month you can pay for.

Six months projected from the margin you actually run at — solid where it is measured, dashed where it is projected — so the two stop being assumed to be the same.

Measured, not estimated EU-hosted Read-only by default

Projected 6-mo£19,400forecast
Assumed margin31.8%measured
To break even11 daysat today’s rate
Lowest balance£3,180week 4

01 / The case for it

Profit is not the bank balance.

Without it

A profitable month can still be a month you cannot pay for. Revenue is counted when the sale happens; the money arrives when the processor settles, and the rent leaves on a date of its own that has nothing to do with either.

What Profflow does

What the balance does next, not what the month did.

The same figures, arranged by when the money moves rather than when it was earned — so a commitment you have already made shows up before it lands rather than after.

02 / What it looks like

Six months of bank balance, with the range around it

On the screenThe balance, projected from the margin you actually run at
JunNov

Solid is measured, dashed is projected, and the shaded part is the range — € on both sides of it.

The solid part is what happened. The dashed part is projection, and the shaded band is how wrong it could be — a forecast that does not say how sure it is has said nothing.

A daily P&L that dumps a month of rent on the first has one impossible day in it, so Profflow spreads it — and the cash view puts it back where it really leaves. The two answer different questions and this is where they part.

03 / Worth understanding

Why profit and cash are different questions

A profitable month can still be a short one

Profit is earned when an order is placed; cash arrives when the processor settles, and leaves when a supplier invoice falls due. A month can make €2,521 and still be €900 short in the third week, and only one of those two facts stops the business.

The margin is the one you actually run at

The projection uses the measured margin from the months behind it, not a figure typed into a settings page. If the real margin is 31.8%, the forecast is built on 31.8% — and when the margin moves, the forecast moves with it rather than waiting to be updated.

Settlement delay is part of the model

Card payouts, PayPal and Klarna each land on their own schedule, and buy-now-pay-later lands late. The forecast uses the real delay each rail reports, which is the difference between a cash-flow projection and a profit chart with a different title.

04 / What it is built from

Cash-flow forecast is assembled
from accounts you already run.

01Measured margin02Fixed costs03Known bills04Payout timing05Order rate06Cash on hand
Cash-flow forecast
Forward bank balanceMeasured vs projectedBreak-even in daysLow-balance warning

05 / How it is worked out

From the account
to the figure on the screen.

  1. 01ReadsYour measured margin over the last ninety days, not a figure typed at setup.
  2. 02AppliesFixed costs, known bills and the cash you told us is in the bank.
  3. 03ProjectsSix months ahead — solid where measured, dashed where projected.
  4. 04WarnsWhere the balance runs thin, before it happens.

Asked of the figures

Can the store afford next month’s inventory order?

Yes — the forecast dips to £3,180 in week four, then recovers. Moving the order one week later keeps a wider buffer.

How Profflow reasons

06 / What it lets you do

What follows
from getting Cash-flow forecast right.

Forward bank balance

Six months of expected cash from measured margin and timing.

Measured vs projected

Solid where it is known, dashed where it is modelled — never blended.

Break-even in days

How long today’s order rate takes to cover today’s costs.

Low-balance warning

See the week the balance runs thin before it arrives.

Inventory timing

Judge a reorder against the cash it needs and when.

Your margin, adjustable

Change the assumed margin and the whole line moves with it.

07 / How the figure is kept honest

The same four rules,
on every screen.

Read-only, on every plan

Profflow observes the accounts it is connected to. It does not write an order, a price, a campaign or a payout back to any of them.

Measured stays measured

A charge read from an account is labelled measured. Anything modelled — a forecast, a projection, a filled gap — is labelled as such on the screen it appears on.

Every figure opens

Follow any number to the dated rows underneath it. A figure nobody can check is a figure nobody acts on.

You approve

The product prepares a decision and shows the evidence. Nothing consequential happens until you say so.

Questions

About Cash-flow forecast.

Is the forecast a guess?
It runs on your measured margin over the last ninety days, not a number typed at setup. The measured part is solid; the projection is drawn dashed.
What can it not know?
A supplier invoice you have not entered or a tax bill you have not told it about. A forecast is only as complete as the costs it has been given.
Can I change the assumptions?
Yes. The assumed margin is measured but editable — change it and the whole line moves.
How far ahead does it look?
Six months, rebuilt as new orders and costs come in.

One operating system

Each part is useful on its own. Profflow holds them in one model, so a figure here carries the context from everywhere else.

See the whole product

See Cash-flow forecast on your own figures.

Six months projected from the margin you actually run at — solid where it is measured, dashed where it is projected — so the two stop being assumed to be the same.